Thursday, March 10, 2011

West Division Playoff Race Update

Chicago Wolves defenseman Arturs Kulda says 'Thinking about the West Division playoff race makes me tired.' (Credit: Courtney Mahoney)

With only one game on the AHL schedule this evening, it's a good time to take a look at the playoff race as it affects the Texas Stars. Oklahoma City and San Antonio face off tonight in a pivotal game for both teams. The two are currently tied for 6th place at 73 points.

Here's the break down of probable points at the end of the season based on current points percentage:

# TM GP CP PP
1 MIL 63 81 103
3 TEX 65 77 95
6 SAN 62 73 94
2 HOU 67 79 94
4 PEO 66 77 93
7 OKC 63 73 93
5 CHI 67 76 91
8 RFD 64 61 76
# - Current ranking, TM - Team, GP - Games played, CP - Current points, PP - Projected points
Here are some points to note:

  • Milwaukee is a little too far ahead of the pack to be caught at this point. They have likely locked up first place thanks to a high points percentage.

  • Note that while Houston is in 2nd place today, they fall to fourth in this ranking. That is due to their high number of games played and tiebreakers. Every team in the division has at least two games in hand on Houston except Chicago, and San Antonio is projected to have more wins at the end of the year.

  • San Antonio jumps from 6th to 3rd in this ranking. They are aided by having only 62 games played. If they continue to win at their current rate or better, they will shoot up the standings.

  • While Chicago has come on strong lately, they are still an outside shot for the playoffs. They have 13 games left to climb into 5th place and would have to pass Peoria and Oklahoma City to do so. They have four total games against those two teams to try to gain ground.

  • Speaking of division games, Texas has 8 divisional games and 7 non-divisional games left. Their non-divisional games over the next week match them up against the best of the North Division in Hamilton, Toronto and Manitoba.

  • The top five teams in the West Division are slated to make the playoffs as of right now. The fourth place team in the North Division, Lake Erie, is currently set to finish with 89 points. Every team in the West but Rockford is on pace to finish with more points that 89.

  • Looking at the numbers, tiebreakers might be a factor this season. Tiebreakers for the playoffs are, in the following order: wins (excluding shootouts), points in season series between teams, goal differential, goals scored in season series between teams, and intra-conference points percentage.

  • Finally, the current playoff matchup has Texas playing San Antonio. For Texas, this is a very favorable matchup as they would have home ice advantage and hold a 6-1-0-2 record on the season against the Rampage. Additionally, travel would not be a big issue for Stars fans, who travel already in droves for regular season games in San Antonio.

3 comments:

  1. hey buddy its Syracuse guy again...dont ya just love the playoffs and how tight they are and how every game means so much?...well it makes me crazy fyi haha. i will be at the stars-SYR game tomm in my stars gear rooting em on

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  2. They're going to need you! It's going to be a tough road trip and after Monday's game, it's pretty obvious that Syracuse isn't a given win. The Stars need to stay above .500 on the road trip.

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  3. yeah but no Ray Emery will help and this will be the "easiest" game of the trip hamilton and toronto are fighting for their lives too and 2 in manitoba are nearly impossible for alot of teams....no lukowih tomm will hut in SYR but hopefully the stars will prevail

    ReplyDelete

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