Analyzing Scenarios for Texas' Playoff Seeding

(Credit: Texas Stars)

The Texas Stars have no idea where or whom they will play next weekend. All they know is that they will play more hockey after Saturday's season finale.

To break down the possibilities, take a look at this infographic below that breaks down the different possibilities for Texas' total points at season's end. With 76 points now and only two games left, the Stars can end with all total between 76-80 points. Because of their loss on Sunday to Manitoba, they need help to avoid the fourth seed and a trip to Frisco to play their play-in series. This graphic breaks down what Texas needs from Manitoba in order to achieve the third seed for each possible Stars point total.
100 Degree Hockey Infographic Texas Stars' Final Push for Central's 3rd Seed Through Apr. 13, Texas has 2 games remaining vs Rockford · Manitoba trails by 2 pts with 3 games remaining
TEX points 76 after OT loss at MB
MB points 74 3 left · @CHI, @IA, @IA
TEX max 80 2 left vs RFD
2-0 — both in regulation · 80 pts 80 pts final
80 pts
Manitoba must Lose ≥1 game outright — any Manitoba win likely clinches 3rd for them via tiebreaker
2-0 — one win in OT · 80 pts 80 pts final · RW tiebreaker weaker
80 pts
Manitoba must Lose ≥1 game — MB wins RW tiebreaker with any regulation win
1 win + 1 OT loss · 79 pts 79 pts final · MB tie still goes to MB on RW
79 pts
Manitoba must Go ≤2-1 with ≥1 reg loss (cap MB at 78) — any 2 wins + OT loss ties at 79, MB wins on RW
1-1 · 78 pts 78 pts final
78 pts
Manitoba must Go ≤1-2 — MB already leads on RW in any tie at 78
0-2 — one OT loss, one reg loss · 77 pts 77 pts final · MIL (max 77) live threat
77 pts
Manitoba must Go 0-3 — MB needs just 1 win to pass TEX; RW tiebreaker already lost
0-2 — both in regulation · 76 pts 76 pts final · 4th or 5th likely
76 pts
Manitoba must Go 0-3 AND Milwaukee go ≤2-1 to avoid 5th
Key tiebreaker: Manitoba already holds RW edge (28 vs TEX 26) after winning today in regulation. TEX can only neutralize this by winning both remaining games in regulation. · MIL threat is theoretical — they must sweep GR (103 pts) and CHI (81 pts).

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